After three torrid years of low profitability, a combination of falling costs and rising prices put yards on a stronger footing, writes Stuart Nicoll from MSI. Read more at Splash247.com
The trajectory of newbuild prices which have soared up by as much as 50% in less than three years is dividing experts with owners facing tricky decisions on when to kickstart fleet renewal programmes ahead of stricter 2030 green targets for shipping agreed at the International Maritime Organization this July.
MSI believes that newbuild prices might finally cool down over the next couple of years, a point of view not widely shared with shipbroking houses. Read more at Splash247.com
A carbon tax is essential to helping the shipping market price next generation vessel earnings and asset values, says MSI. Read more at TradeWinds
LNG bunker price expected to start trading at a substantial discount to low-sulphur fuel from 2024, helping create a premium for charter ships burning the fuel. For dual-fuel methanol ships, the picture is less clear even with shipping included into the EU ETS, as the price for green methanol would be significantly higher, according to MSI. Read more at Lloydslist
Mothballed capacity is being brought back to life as contracting is forecast to rise. “Expansion in capacity will certainly be needed in the second half of the decade, when we expect a surge in contracting volumes in response to the twin requirements of fleet renewals and decarbonisation efforts,” says MSI director Stuart Nicoll. Read more at TradeWinds
A huge part of the world fleet will have to be replaced with zero-emission vessels in little more than two decades if regulators set a goal of decarbonising shipping by 2050. “Based on the evidence to date, it seems likely that most shipyards will make the step up in capability to meet demand for new green technologies, especially as the technology matures and becomes commodified,” says MSI director Stuart Nicoll. Read more at TradeWinds
The shipping industry has faced new challenges over the past 12 months due to higher funding costs following the rise in interest rates.
MSI’s Managing Director, Dr Adam Kent, contributes his thoughts on the topic in an article published by Naftemporiki
“Unfortunately, it is not until around the end of the next decade that it becomes more economically viable to run green fuels than conventional fuels, or conventional fuels with a scrubber.” said MSI’s Managing Director Adam Kent. Read more at Tradewinds.
The industry is set for one of the most dynamic periods it has ever witnessed during the remainder of the decade as it grapples with decarbonisation, the energy transition, geopolitical ramifications and the further maturing of the Chinese economy. Read more in TradeWinds
UNCTAD’s latest seaborne review has some forecasts to shock shipowners. Adam Kent, MSI’s Managing Director, comments on UNCTAD’s latest numbers placing them in context. Read more at Splash247.com